A ballyhooed gulf in excitement and commitment for D's & R's is not showing up like you'd expect in the closely watched battleground of Nevada. At least not at summer's end, heading to the home stretch. The National Review reports that Nevada's new voter registrations for the month of August leaned more heavily Democratic and independent than Republican. The August figures:  Democrats 2617, Republican 2037, non-partisan independent 2,249.  It's only one month, but gives no sign of fatigue in Democrats. The deadline to register in Nevada, by the way, is Saturday October 2.

The 2 parties have been trading leads a few times on the generic ballot question ("vote for a Democrat, or a Republican for Congress?") since the late spring, creating suspense and anxiety about the nationwide political landscape.

Recent polls don't settle it.  Politico/GW poll: tied (43-43, likely voters); and

Dems show a 1-point lead in the (pdf) PPP survey: D +1 >> PPP: "Democrats have retaken a 45-44 lead in the national generic Congressional ballot, after being down 42-45 in August."

"(The current) Democrats in Congress also still are better liked than their Republican counterparts by 19 points." Even so, the respondents said they believe the GOP will win the House despite their expressed voter preferences. Maybe they've heard the prediction broadcast in their ear.  From other surveys: CBS/NYT gives the GOP a 2-point edge. Gallup and AP give Republicans a bigger margin.

The most interesting poll is the one you've never heard of, by the Barna Group, an evangelical polling outfit (Ventura, Calif).